All in EV in 3way pot

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All in EV in 3way pot

Postby mika123 » Fri Dec 02, 2011 8:25 am

So the hand goes as posted below.

However my amount won and expected lines goes both down, but since I'm all in preflop, expected should go up. Or does it matter that there are 2 players not all in on preflop and another one folds on flop? That shouldn't affect my expected won amount line... or is there something I don't understand?

OnGame - 50/100 NL - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

UTG: 6,150.00
BTN: 1,540.00
SB: 880.00
Hero (BB): 430.00

SB posts SB 50.00, Hero posts BB 100.00

Pre Flop: (150.00) Hero has A:diamond: A:heart:

fold, BTN raises to 200.00, SB calls 150.00, Hero raises to 430.00 and is all-in, BTN calls 230.00, SB calls 230.00

Flop: (1290.00, 3 players) 8:club: K:club: 4:club:
SB bets 100.00, fold

Turn: (1290.00, 2 players) 6:club:

River: (1290.00, 2 players) 8:diamond:

SB shows K:spade: K:heart: (Full House, Kings full of Eights) (Pre 18%, Flop 90%, Turn 88%)
Hero shows A:diamond: A:heart: (Two Pair, Aces and Eights) (Pre 82%, Flop 10%, Turn 13%)
SB wins 1,290.00
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Re: All in EV in 3way pot

Postby kraada » Fri Dec 02, 2011 9:22 am

Because the button called your all-in but later folded in the hand, we cannot calculate EV for this pot, as we don't know his cards.

Imagine he had 99 here. If he hits his set, he continues, and assume if he doesn't he folds (just to keep it simple).

If we calculated your EV vs KK, we would be missing your EV vs 99 - which could flop that set.

But maybe he coudln't flop a set, maybe he had AJ - which depresses your odds of hitting your own set.

The key is we don't know, so we can't calculate EV in these situations.
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